xarcadetankstick|邦达亚洲:中东紧张局势升温避险情绪黄金早盘上行

Celebrities 2024年05月06日 16:00 12 editor

On May 6, Federal Reserve Governor Bowman said on Friday that even if the Fed kept interest rates unchanged at current levels, inflation should continue to fall, while reiterating her willingness to raise policy interest rates if anti-inflation progress stalled or reversed. Bowman is the first to speak since Federal Reserve Chairman Colin Powell delivered a speech on Thursday.Xarcadetankstick"my basic expectation is that inflation will fall further while policy rates remain stable, but I still think some upside risks to inflation will affect my expectations," she said at a meeting. While the current monetary policy stance appears to be at a restrictive level, I am willing to raise the federal funds rate at future meetings if upcoming data show stagnant or reversal in inflation. " In her speech, Bowman made it clear that she expected inflation to remain high for some time, and stressedXarcadetankstickThere are some factors that could prevent inflation from falling back to the Fed's 2% target. For example, there is a shortage of housing in the face of a growing labour force, and wage growth is still strong.

Separately, Chicago Fed Chairman Goolsbee said Friday's jobs report will make him feel that the economy shows no signs of overheating. Mr Goolsbee, who did not say whether interest rate cuts were possible this year, said he was still waiting for more data to confirm whether inflation was heading towards the Fed's 2 per cent target. "We had some problems with inflation at the beginning of the year," he said. " He added that officials need to take a step back to determine whether this is a sign of renewed economic acceleration. "the more employment reports like this show that employment is stable, but clearly returning to levels similar to those before the COVID-19 epidemic, the more confident we are that the economy will not overheat." "if wages and employment continue to slow in the coming months, interest rate cuts may come sooner than expected," said Rubeela Farooqi, chief US economist at High Frequency Economics. We need to see more data to see if this is an episode or the beginning of a new trend. "

The data that need to be watched today are the euro zone's May Sentix investor confidence index and Canada's March leading indicator monthly rate.

xarcadetankstick|邦达亚洲:中东紧张局势升温避险情绪黄金早盘上行

Gold / US dollar

Gold fluctuated and consolidated last Friday, and the daily line closed slightly lower. At one point, the expected cooling of the Fed's interest rate cut depressed the decline in gold and fell below the 2300 mark. However, gold recovered most of its losses during the day, supported by short covering and a high-profile US non-farm payrolls report that reignited expectations of Fed interest rate cuts. In early trading in Asia, gold rose slightly due to rising tensions in the Middle East, and the exchange rate is now trading around 2311. Today, we will focus on the pressure situation near 2320, with the lower support around 2300.

AUD / USD

The Australian dollar fluctuated upwards last Friday, breaking through 0.Xarcadetankstick. 6600 mark and refresh 8-week high, now the exchange rate is traded at 0.XarcadetankstickAround .6610. In addition to the strong support for the Australian dollar due to the weakness of the US dollar index in the weak non-farm payrolls report which rekindled expectations of interest rate cuts, Australia's good economic data also provided some support for the Australian dollar. In addition, the expectation that the RBA will keep interest rates at 12-year highs for most of this year has also provided some support for the Australian dollar. Today, we will focus on the pressure situation near 0.6700, with the lower support around 0.6500.